The Ezelman CRR3 Impact Index

An anonymised, quarterly benchmark of Day-1 CRR3 RWA uplift across 50+ Ezelman mandates — broken down by asset class, portfolio type and jurisdiction. The data set the Big Four wish they had.

+17.4%
Average Day-1 CRR3 RWA uplift · Q2 2026 · 50+ mandates · unhedged

The EBA's own impact study puts the industry at +9–10%. Our book shows +17.4% before management actions — and the gap is the story.

Breakdown by asset class

Day-1 RWA uplift on a constant-book basis, averaged across mandates. Peer-benchmarked to the EBA Q4 2025 impact assessment where available.

Asset classEzelman mandates avg.EBA benchmarkSpread
Residential mortgages+22.1% +12.0%+10.1 pp
Large corporates (IRB)+18.6% +9.5%+9.1 pp
Specialised lending+14.9% +8.0%+6.9 pp
SME corporates+11.3% +7.5%+3.8 pp
Unrated corporates (SA)+28.0% +14.5%+13.5 pp
Banks & FIs+9.4% +6.5%+2.9 pp
Counterparty credit risk (SA-CCR)+12.7% +8.0%+4.7 pp
Operational risk (BIC)+4.8% +3.0%+1.8 pp
Output-floor bite (all-book)+6.2% +4.5%+1.7 pp

Why Ezelman numbers are higher than the EBA

  • Selection bias — acknowledged. Banks hire us because their internal numbers are getting worse, not better. Our book over-indexes on uplift.
  • Pre-management-action numbers. We publish the number before repapering, portfolio re-segmentation, securitisation, and IRB permission refresh — the fixes that deliver 30–80 bps of CET1 back.
  • Conservative IRB re-calibration. We anchor on the upper bound of the PD floor literature until the bank's supervisor signals otherwise. Many advisory firms anchor on the lower bound. That is how you get a Pillar 2G surprise in year two.
  • Unrated corporate treatment. The SA risk weight for unrated corporates is where our book diverges most from the EBA — because the EBA's sample is skewed to G-SIBs with more rated names than European mid-tier banks actually have.

How the index is built.

The CRR3 Impact Index is a rolling, anonymised aggregation of RWA uplift observed across Ezelman client mandates over the preceding four quarters. Every bank in the sample is a European credit institution; mandates are weighted by total-RWA exposure so the index is not distorted by a single large book.

We publish the number we see, not the number we market. When our numbers differ from the EBA's — as they do — we show the spread and explain it. We do not back-solve to a comfortable narrative.

The public edition of the Index (this page) shows averages. The full breakdown — by jurisdiction, by bank size tier, by IRB vs SA, with CET1 waterfall and management-action playbook — is a member-only asset, released quarterly to Ezelman Intelligence subscribers.

Next edition: Q3 2026, published end of September.

Want the full breakdown?By jurisdiction, size tier, and management-action playbook.
HM
Hannan Mohammad · Founder & Managing Partner, Ezelman20+ years on the regulatory front line at European G-SIBs.
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