An inspection is decided before the inspectors arrive.
We have run the bank's side of the room. Scroll through the 120 days that decide whether the follow-up letter costs you capital, and what we do on each of them.
The clock starts 120 days before kickoff; the notification letter typically lands about six weeks before it (Ezelman practice). Whatever is not standing by then becomes remediation, not preparation.
D-120 · Foundations
The load-bearing walls are never rebuilt under fire.
Governance, three lines of defence, model inventory, data lineage. If these are not standing at D-120, the inspection is already a remediation programme; our first week tells you which.
CET1 at stake
0255075100 bps25-80 bps
Remediation
06121824 months6-18 months
Ezelman estimate Range for a material SSM finding (F3 or F4). Illustrative, not supervisory guidance.
D-60 · Readiness drill
We inspect you before the inspectors do.
A full mock inspection sixty days before kickoff: evidence retrieval timed in hours, interviews rehearsed, one evidence taxonomy across credit, model, data and IT, every document pre-cleared by legal, risk and finance.
FORTRESS
Foundations · Open dialogue · Readiness drill · Taxonomy · Response line · Evidence vault · Supervisory narrative · Sustain: eight positions held from D-120 to the follow-up letter. The FORTRESS method.
D-0 to D+90 · On site
One response line. Zero contradictions.
We sit in the room, on the bank's side: daily coordination with the inspection team, a real-time reading of every request, prioritisation and escalation. Every answer comes from the evidence vault; none is improvised.
800+inspector requests on our last IRB credit-risk inspection, 95% answered within 48 hoursCase record, 2026
Draft report · written comments
Accept unambiguously. Contest with evidence. Commit to decision dates.
Each finding gets four fields: the bank's position, a dated commitment with a named executive owner, a Board milestone, the evidence file. The inspection team accepted this structure at first review.
Written comments on the draft inspection report · IRB [portfolio redacted] · strictly confidential
Finding 01 · Severity F3 (high)
“The mortgage IRB model's PD calibration relies on a reference dataset that does not adequately capture the 2012–2013 downturn vintage.”
Bank's position: Accepted without reservation. Remediation: augmented reference dataset by [redacted]; one-off prudential margin applied with immediate effect; Chief Model Risk Officer named owner; Board Risk Committee progress reports at [redacted].
No supervisory capital adjustment attributable to the inspected scope.
Our most recent IRB inspection closed in 2026: a European G-SIB, nine months from notification to close, under 20 findings in the draft report, two corrective action plans. P2R is set on the whole SREP, not per inspection, so the record covers only the inspected scope.
The remediation load is real: about 12,000 open supervisory measures across significant banks at end-2025, roughly 100 per bank (ECB, 6 October 2026).
Peer P2R add-on+30 bps
Inspections we have supportedNone
bps of RWA
0102030
+30 bps
Ezelman estimate Peer Pillar 2 add-on (a P2R effect), in bps of RWA, across inspections observed 2023 to 2025; no supervisory statistic is published.
An ECB inspection is decided before kickoff. We run the bank's side; on inspections we supported, no Pillar 2 add-on was attributable to the inspected scope.
The walk-away clause
If your data, governance or executive sponsorship is not ready, we tell you before the engagement, not after. If we cannot meet the standard, we recommend someone who can.
20 yearsBank capital and regulatory risk, on the bank side and in Big-4 advisoryFounder profile, 2005 to date
50+1Senior-led mandatesFootnote 1; Ezelman mandates since 2020 on Recent Mandates
9Jurisdictions: France, Italy, Spain, Germany, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, UAE, QatarMandates delivered in Europe and the Gulf
2Offices: Paris (HQ) and DubaiEzelman SASU, founded 2020
1 Senior-led mandates across the founder's career and Ezelman; Ezelman's own mandates since 2020 are on Recent Mandates. One partner; a bench of senior practitioners, Director level and above, engaged per mandate.
Typical mandates EUR 250k to 1.5m · senior-only delivery
Mandates for G-SIBs · SSM-supervised banks · GCC Tier-1 banks
Four supervisory moments
The same discipline wherever the supervisor sets the number.
Inspections show it most; the stress test, the CRR3 programme and the operating model run on the same method.
Their on-site inspection expertise is practical, senior, and effective. They don't advise from the sidelines. They sit with you in the room, negotiate with the inspector, and own the findings line by line.Client, European G-SIB
Client references are available on request, with the client's consent.
The trigger, not the CET1 ratio, decides what a bank can distribute.
Six large EU banks, all SSM-supervised: four G-SIBs (BNP Paribas, Santander, Société Générale, Deutsche Bank) and two O-SIIs (BBVA, UniCredit). Four are on our CET1 headroom tracker today.
ExhibitFY2025 disclosures · reviewed 25 October 2026
Deutsche Bank reports the second-highest CET1 ratio of these four and only the third-highest headroom.
Headroom is the FY2025 CET1 ratio less an illustrative CET1 MDA trigger: 4.5% Pillar 1 + the CET1 share of P2R + the combined buffer, from disclosed P2R and buffers. P2G sits above the trigger, outside it.
Source: FY2025 Pillar 3 disclosures and results releases, via the Ezelman CET1 headroom tracker. MDA triggers are Ezelman calculations, illustrative; the 200 bps line is Ezelman's reading. The cohort read scores all six on distance to the hard minimum, EBA 2025 fully-loaded stress depletion (Table A2) and P2R level: directional, not a ranking.Ezelman estimate
the H2 2026 refresh of the six-bank cohort read is in preparation on the Q2 2026 disclosure round; publication date to be announced.
Eight dated milestones before 2029 move the capital stack; two are undated.
Supervisory milestonesSnapshot reviewed 25 October 2026
To 2027 · US Fed SCBs held until 2027.
Q4 2026 · EU EBA 2027 final methodology expected; revised OSI guide and 2027-2029 priorities due.
1 Jan 2027 · EU, UK Revised SREP Guidelines, Basel 3.1 and FRTB own funds apply.
Jan 2027 · EU EBA 2027 stress test launch, expected.
2027 · GCC SAMA ICAAP cycle; CBUAE thematic reviews.
Jul-Aug 2027 · EU Stress-test results expected; they feed the 2027 SREP decisions.
2027 · UK BoE capital stress test, expected.
1 Jan 2028 · EU Output floor steps to 65%.
No date · US Basel III Endgame final rule pending.
No date · GCC CBUAE final reforms timeline not yet published.
Dates as published; "expected" where the final text is pending.Open the live radar →
If an inspection is on the horizon, start the clock now.
Readiness work pays most 6 to 12 months before kickoff; the 120 days before kickoff are the minimum. Already under inspection? We typically mobilise within 48 hours.